{"id":903,"date":"2018-10-21T11:58:00","date_gmt":"2018-10-21T11:58:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/propertyandlivestock.com.au\/?p=903"},"modified":"2020-05-11T17:11:46","modified_gmt":"2020-05-11T17:11:46","slug":"farmland-demand-up-despite-drought-pressure-on-ag-investment-earnings","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/propertyandlivestock.com.au\/zh\/farmland-demand-up-despite-drought-pressure-on-ag-investment-earnings\/","title":{"rendered":"Farmland Demand Up Despite Drought Pressure On Ag Investment Earnings"},"content":{"rendered":"

Bullish farmland demand continues to defy the drought\u2019s impact on primary producer incomes, with the value in owning permanent horticulture farms really starting to shine as the big dry threatens to get drier this summer. Permanent cropping income returns assessed by the Australian Farmland Index\u2019s monitor of leading farm investor earnings jumped 15.66 per cent for the year to June 30. That compared with just 6.53pc growth for annual crop and livestock enterprises.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The index keeps tabs on the capital and income gains from a $1.3 billion portfolio of 67 properties managed or owned by eight corporate agribusiness players around Australia. More than half (38) of the properties monitored are involved in permanent agricultural production (horticulture). However, rural property market analysts say demand for a broad range of farms should stay revved up for at least another two years. Inquiry continued to outstrip supply and was certainly not restricted to drought-proofed irrigated country. Farm income needs to trend higher to maintain such strong capital appreciation rates<\/q>\u2013 Laguna Bay Pastoral Company.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The national median price for Australian farmland was now at a 10-year high according to Rabobank research, with particularly strong growth recorded since 2013. It calculated a compound annual growth rate of 2.5pc during the past decade had pushed the median price to $2278 a hectare by early this year. \u201cInvestors value that the capital return of ag land is not volatile and generally not correlated with a range of other investments,\u201d said Rabobank research analyst, Wes Lefroy. Expectations of solid demand continued even though broadacre earnings were set to be hit harder by the drought during 2018-19 and the likelihood of tighter bank finance arrangements for borrowers looking to buy land.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In the year to June 2018 the drought\u2019s impact on overall earnings weighed down the Australian Farmland Index\u2019s (AFI) returns on investment to 11.64pc. Permanent horticulture enterprises have enjoyed rising farmland returns as drought bites. The previous year\u2019s returns had been an impressive 18.16pc. While 2017-18\u2019s overall result was still considered strong, farm index analysis by Laguna Bay Pastoral Company said the drought\u2019s impact would become more notable in the second half of this calendar year. The ongoing slide in farm income caused by dry conditions would subsequently erode the capital value of Australian farmland.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Between March and June capital appreciation rates contributed 68pc of total returns monitored by the index \u2013 well above the average 52pc capital appreciation contribution recorded since the AFI began its quarterly reports in March 2015. \u201cIt is hard to see how capital growth rates can continue to maintain a significantly higher rate than income returns over the long term,\u201d the Laguna Bay commentary noted. \u201cFarm income needs to trend higher to maintain such strong capital appreciation rates or appreciation rates will start to revert to longer term levels below 7pc.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Farm index co-ordinator, Frank Delahunty agreed income returns reported to date had not experienced the full effect of drought engulfing most of NSW southern Queensland and parts of northern Victoria this winter. However, while deteriorating seasonal conditions were likely to be further reflected in lower income and capital value results during the second half of 2018, the land value story should be at partially offset by continuing strong buyer interest in farmland.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Domestic and offshore investors were continuing to be active and low interest rates were helping buyers.Demand heavily outweighs the number of properties on the market in many agricultural areas \u2013 although this varies even within regions<\/q>\u2013 Wes Lefroy, Rabobank In fact, Rabobank\u2019s research suggested agricultural land prices would keep rising in the next two years, propelled by generally strong commodity markets and healthy balance sheets built up during favourable seasons prior to the eastern states drought setting in.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mr Lefroy said farmers of all sizes were also looking to increase their portfolio diversification. Although city house prices may have come off the boil, he said there was no peak in sight for farmland values as demand in most regions was set to continue to far outstrip supply. He tipped the overall rate of price growth would probably slow, but there was still considerable upside ahead for agricultural land. Mr Lefroy said despite adverse seasonal conditions, trade uncertainty headwinds and a likely fall in farmers\u2019 relative borrowing capacity as bank funding costs rose, property demand was projected to stay high largely as there were too few farms for sale.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

South-eastern Australia had led the rising market so far, with Tasmanian and Victorian farm values enjoying compound annual growth of 4.9pc and 4.1pc respectively in the decade to 2018, while West Australian and Queensland growth was 0.7pc and 0.3pc. \u201cDemand heavily outweighs the number of properties on the market in many agricultural areas \u2013 although this varies even within regions because of the types and performance of commodities produced, their productive capacity and even localised competition bubbles,\u201d Mr Lefroy said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cOn South Australia\u2019s Yorke Peninsula, prices appreciated at 20pc compound annual growth rate in the past five years, with premiums for high-yielding lentil-producing land in central and northern parts.\u201d Corporate interest in agriculture has also increased, adding competition for farmland purchases<\/q>\u2013 Wes Lefroy, Rabobank Buyer demand had been fuelled by surging farm operational profit growth averaging almost seven times more between 2013 and 2017 than a decade earlier.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Broadacre crop and mixed livestock farms enjoyed best profits, courtesy of record beef, wool and sheepmeat prices which hit decade highs in 2016 and 2017. A weaker Australian dollar since 2013 and record low finance costs also helped drive property markets. \u201cCorporate interest in agriculture has also increased, adding competition for farmland purchases,\u201d he said. \u201cA rise in operational return for farms and growth in the capital appreciation of agricultural land has sparked an increase in local and global investor market entry.\u201d<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Bullish farmland demand continues to defy the drought\u2019s impact on primary producer incomes, with the value in owning permanent horticulture farms really starting to shine as the big dry threatens to get drier this summer. Permanent cropping income returns assessed by the Australian Farmland Index\u2019s monitor of leading farm investor earnings jumped 15.66 per cent for…<\/p>","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","two_page_speed":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-903","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"yoast_head":"\nFarmland Demand Up Despite Drought Pressure On Ag Investment Earnings - David Carter Property and Livestock<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/propertyandlivestock.com.au\/zh\/farmland-demand-up-despite-drought-pressure-on-ag-investment-earnings\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"zh_CN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Farmland Demand Up Despite Drought Pressure On Ag Investment Earnings - David Carter Property and Livestock\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Bullish farmland demand continues to defy the drought\u2019s impact on primary producer incomes, with the value in owning permanent horticulture farms really starting to shine as the big dry threatens to get drier this summer. Permanent cropping income returns assessed by the Australian Farmland Index\u2019s monitor of leading farm investor earnings jumped 15.66 per cent for…\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/propertyandlivestock.com.au\/zh\/farmland-demand-up-despite-drought-pressure-on-ag-investment-earnings\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"David Carter Property and Livestock\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/davidcarterpropertylivestock\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2018-10-21T11:58:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2020-05-11T17:11:46+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"David Carter Property and Livestock\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@LivestockDavid\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@LivestockDavid\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u4f5c\u8005\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"David Carter Property and Livestock\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"\u9884\u8ba1\u9605\u8bfb\u65f6\u95f4\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"5 \u5206\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/propertyandlivestock.com.au\/en_au\/farmland-demand-up-despite-drought-pressure-on-ag-investment-earnings\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/propertyandlivestock.com.au\/en_au\/farmland-demand-up-despite-drought-pressure-on-ag-investment-earnings\/\",\"name\":\"Farmland Demand Up Despite Drought Pressure On Ag Investment Earnings - David Carter Property and Livestock\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/propertyandlivestock.com.au\/en_au\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2018-10-21T11:58:00+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2020-05-11T17:11:46+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/propertyandlivestock.com.au\/en_au\/#\/schema\/person\/7fb75b1cef8fef8e63ef0c6b8c337e84\"},\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/propertyandlivestock.com.au\/en_au\/farmland-demand-up-despite-drought-pressure-on-ag-investment-earnings\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"zh-CN\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/propertyandlivestock.com.au\/en_au\/farmland-demand-up-despite-drought-pressure-on-ag-investment-earnings\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/propertyandlivestock.com.au\/en_au\/farmland-demand-up-despite-drought-pressure-on-ag-investment-earnings\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/propertyandlivestock.com.au\/en_au\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Farmland Demand Up Despite Drought Pressure On Ag Investment Earnings\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/propertyandlivestock.com.au\/en_au\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/propertyandlivestock.com.au\/en_au\/\",\"name\":\"David Carter Property and Livestock\",\"description\":\"Settting the right expectations\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/propertyandlivestock.com.au\/en_au\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"zh-CN\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/propertyandlivestock.com.au\/en_au\/#\/schema\/person\/7fb75b1cef8fef8e63ef0c6b8c337e84\",\"name\":\"David Carter Property and Livestock\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"zh-CN\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/propertyandlivestock.com.au\/en_au\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/d38c6fe4891bbc7f7356efa237a96363?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/d38c6fe4891bbc7f7356efa237a96363?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"caption\":\"David Carter Property and Livestock\"},\"url\":\"https:\/\/propertyandlivestock.com.au\/zh\/author\/pwsbuilder\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Farmland Demand Up Despite Drought Pressure On Ag Investment Earnings - David Carter Property and Livestock","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/propertyandlivestock.com.au\/zh\/farmland-demand-up-despite-drought-pressure-on-ag-investment-earnings\/","og_locale":"zh_CN","og_type":"article","og_title":"Farmland Demand Up Despite Drought Pressure On Ag Investment Earnings - David Carter Property and Livestock","og_description":"Bullish farmland demand continues to defy the drought\u2019s impact on primary producer incomes, with the value in owning permanent horticulture farms really starting to shine as the big dry threatens to get drier this summer. 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(Source: Rabobank Agribusiness Outlook 2018) Wheat\u00a0- prices\u00a0will\u00a0continue\u00a0to\u00a0be\u00a0weighed\u00a0down\u00a0in\u00a02018,\u00a0following\u00a0another\u00a0record\u00a0year\u00a0of\u00a0global\u00a0wheat\u00a0production\u00a0in\u00a02017, and with\u00a0forecast\u00a0global\u00a02017\/18\u00a0ending\u00a0stocks\u00a0set\u00a0to\u00a0reach\u00a0a\u00a0new\u00a0record\u00a0of\u00a0273\u00a0million\u00a0tonnes.\u00a0Prospects\u00a0for\u00a0market\u00a0strengthening have\u00a0however\u00a0emerged,\u00a0with\u00a0Rabobank\u00a0forecasting\u00a0a\u00a0limited\u00a0price\u00a0appreciation\u00a0in\u00a0the\u00a0global\u00a0benchmark\u00a0over\u00a0the\u00a0coming\u00a0year. Barley\u00a0\u2013\u00a0forecasts\u00a0for\u00a0the\u00a0lowest\u00a0global\u00a0ending\u00a0stocks\u00a0in\u00a0more\u00a0than\u00a030\u00a0years\u00a0and ongoing\u00a0strength\u00a0in\u00a0Australian\u00a0livestock markets\u00a0are\u00a0set\u00a0to\u00a0keep\u00a0barley\u00a0prices\u00a0elevated. Dairy\u00a0\u2013 the\u00a0road\u00a0to\u00a0recovery\u00a0resumes,\u00a0the\u00a0Rabobank\u00a0report\u00a0says,\u00a0with\u00a0trading\u00a0conditions\u00a0for\u00a0dairy\u00a0farmers\u00a0to\u00a0be\u00a0broadly attractive,\u00a0and\u00a0processor ownership\u00a0issues\u00a0resolving.\u00a0Growth\u00a0in\u00a0the\u00a0global\u00a0exportable\u00a0dairy\u00a0surpluses\u00a0will\u00a0however\u00a0continue\u00a0to\u00a0expand\u00a0in\u00a0the\u00a0first\u00a0quarter\u00a0of\u00a0the\u00a0year,\u00a0putting\u00a0ongoing pressure\u00a0on\u00a0global\u00a0prices. However,\u00a0the\u00a0bank\u00a0isn\u2019t expecting\u00a0these\u00a0surpluses\u00a0to\u00a0overwhelm\u00a0the\u00a0global\u00a0market.\u00a0China\u2019s\u00a0import appetite\u00a0for\u00a0dairy\u00a0is\u00a0also\u00a0forecast to\u00a0remain\u00a0buoyant\u00a0during\u00a0the\u00a0year. Beef\u00a0\u2013\u00a0growing\u00a0global\u00a0beef\u00a0(as\u00a0well\u00a0as\u00a0poultry\u00a0and\u00a0pork)\u00a0production, together\u00a0with\u00a0increased\u00a0cattle\u00a0inventory\u00a0in\u00a0Australia,\u00a0will exert\u00a0downward\u00a0pressure\u00a0on\u00a0Australian\u00a0cattle\u00a0prices\u00a0through\u00a02018. 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The financial institution\u2019s inaugural Australian Land Price Outlook, titled\u00a0No Summit in Sight \u2014 Ag Land Prices to Climb Higher,\u00a0was released at the end of August. 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On the supply side, the number of listings and properties being offered to the market appears to have eased throughout 2018 to this point, due in part to the extended dry seasonal conditions. As a\u2026","rel":"","context":"\u7c7b\u4f3c\u6587\u7ae0","block_context":{"text":"\u7c7b\u4f3c\u6587\u7ae0","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":957,"url":"https:\/\/propertyandlivestock.com.au\/zh\/do-wind-turbines-or-solar-panel-arrays-add-or-subtract-from-property-value\/","url_meta":{"origin":903,"position":3},"title":"Do Wind Turbines or Solar Panel Arrays Add or Subtract from Property Value?","author":"David Carter Property and Livestock","date":"9 8 \u6708, 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"Weekly property review: Do wind turbines or solar panel arrays add or subtract from property value? Solar panel arrays, wind turbines and telecommunications towers are popping up on farms and grazing properties from northern Queensland through to Tasmania, providing producers with a steady, passive income stream, particularly valuable now as\u2026","rel":"","context":"\u7c7b\u4f3c\u6587\u7ae0","block_context":{"text":"\u7c7b\u4f3c\u6587\u7ae0","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":943,"url":"https:\/\/propertyandlivestock.com.au\/zh\/property-no-ceiling-in-sight-for-climbing-ag-land-prices\/","url_meta":{"origin":903,"position":4},"title":"Property: No Ceiling in Sight for Climbing Ag Land Prices","author":"David Carter Property and Livestock","date":"24 8 \u6708, 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"Agricultural land prices in Australia are set to continue to climb over the next two years with no peak in sight, according to a new report issued by Rabobank. This is driven in the most part, the report says, by projected continuing high demand for ag properties, which in most\u2026","rel":"","context":"\u7c7b\u4f3c\u6587\u7ae0","block_context":{"text":"\u7c7b\u4f3c\u6587\u7ae0","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":978,"url":"https:\/\/propertyandlivestock.com.au\/zh\/more-properties-needed-now\/","url_meta":{"origin":903,"position":5},"title":"More properties needed NOW!","author":"David Carter Property and Livestock","date":"25 7 \u6708, 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"Due to strong inquiry from a range of prospective buyers we urgently need more rural, lifestyle and residential properties to list and sell. Interest is coming from both local and out of the area interested parties. If you have decided to sell or perhaps you are giving this some thought;\u2026","rel":"","context":"\u7c7b\u4f3c\u6587\u7ae0","block_context":{"text":"\u7c7b\u4f3c\u6587\u7ae0","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/propertyandlivestock.com.au\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/903"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/propertyandlivestock.com.au\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/propertyandlivestock.com.au\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/propertyandlivestock.com.au\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/propertyandlivestock.com.au\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=903"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/propertyandlivestock.com.au\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/903\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/propertyandlivestock.com.au\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=903"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/propertyandlivestock.com.au\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=903"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/propertyandlivestock.com.au\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=903"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}